A critique of the market as optimal system, and remedies for the meltdown

Why is it that:

“The need for a pervasive, permanent role of government in directing investment also emerges from more recent studies of economic development. As documented in the research of Alice Amsden, Ha-Joon Chang, Dani Rodrik, and others, the countries that have grown fastest have ignored the advice of the World Bank, IMF, and other advocates of free trade and laissez-faire. Instead, successful development has been based on skillful, continual government involvement in nurturing promising industries, supporting education, research, and infrastructure, and managing international trade. The government’s leading role in development can certainly be done wrong, but it can’t be done without.”

As the current financial meltdown has demonstrated, the market is not an optimal system, especially when left on its own devices.

Frank Ackerman offers a good summary of arguments why this is so:

Broadly speaking, there are four fundamental flaws in the theory that private greed reliably creates social good. The financial crisis highlights the fourth and least familiar item in the list, involving access to information. But it will be helpful to begin with a brief review of the other flaws.

First, the theoretical defense of market outcomes rests on Pareto optimality, an absurdly narrow definition of social goals. A proposal to raise taxes on the richest five percent and lower taxes on everyone else is not “optimal” by this standard, since it makes only 95 percent of the population, not everyone, better off. Important public policies typically help some people at the expense of others: pollution controls are good for those who value clean air and water, but bad for the profits of major polluters. The invisible hand won’t achieve such non-consensual results; public goods require public choices.

Second, market competition only leads to the right outcomes if everything that matters is a marketable commodity with a meaningful price. Marxists and others have objected to the treatment of labor as a mere commodity; environmentalists have likewise objected to the view of nature as something to buy and sell. This is not a new idea: in the words of the 18th century philosopher Immanuel Kant, some things have a price, or relative worth; other things have a dignity, or intrinsic worth. Respect for the dignity of labor and of nature leads into a realm of rights and absolute standards, not prices and markets. It doesn’t matter how much someone would be willing to pay for the opportunity to engage in slavery, child labor, or the extinction of species; those options are not for sale. Which issues call for absolute standards, and which can safely be left to the market?

This foundational question precedes and defines the legitimate scope of market competition; it cannot be answered from within the apparatus of economics as usual.

Third, the theory of competitive markets and the proof of their optimality rest on the assumption that no enterprise is large enough to wield noticeable power in the marketplace. Adam Smith’s butchers and bakers operated in a relentlessly competitive environment, as do the small producers and consumers of modern general equilibrium theory. In reality, businesses big enough to wield significant power over prices, wages, and production processes can be found throughout the economic landscape.

Big businesses thrive, in part, thanks to economies of scale in technology and work organization: bigger boilers and furnaces are physically more efficient than small ones; assembly lines can make labor more productive than individual craft work; computers are often more productive when they run the same software used by everyone else. Economies of scale are also important in establishing and advertising well-known brands: since no one ever has complete information about the market, as discussed below, there is a value to knowing exactly what to expect when you walk into a McDonald’s or a Starbucks.

Bigness can also be based on unethical, even illegal manipulation of markets to create monopoly or near-monopoly positions. Manipulation constantly reappears because the “rules of the game” create such a powerful incentive to break the rules. The story of the invisible hand, and its formalization in the theory of perfectly competitive markets, offers businesses only the life of the Red Queen in Alice in Wonderland, running faster and faster to stay in the same place. Firms must constantly compete with each other to create better and cheaper products; as soon as they succeed and start to make greater profits, their competitors catch up with them, driving profits back down to the low level that is just enough to keep them all in business. An ambitious, profit-maximizing individual could easily conclude that there is more money to be made by cheating. In the absence of religious or other extra-economic commitments to play by the rules, the strongest incentive created by market competition is the search for an escape from competition, legitimately or otherwise.

Opportunities to cheat are entwined with the fourth flaw in the theory of perfect competition: all participants in the market are assumed to have complete information about products and prices. Adam Smith’s consumers were well-informed through personal experience about what the baker and the butcher were selling; their successors in conventional economic theory are likewise assumed to know the full range of what is for sale on the market, and how much they would benefit from buying each item. In the realm of finance, mortgage crises and speculative bubbles would be impossible if every investor knew the exact worth of every available investment – as, stereotypically, small-town bankers were once thought to know the credit-worthiness of households and businesses in their communities.

The assumption of complete information fails on at least two levels, both relevant to the current crisis: a general issue of the sheer complexity of the market; and a more specific problem involving judgment of rare but costly risks. In general terms, a modern market economy is far too complex for any individual to understand and evaluate everything that is for sale. This limitation has inspired a number of alternative approaches to economics, ranging from Herbert Simon’s early theories of bounded rationality through the more recent work on limited and asymmetric information by Joseph Stiglitz and others. Since no one ever has complete information about what’s available on the market, there is no guarantee that unregulated private markets will reach the ideal outcome. Regulations that improve the flow of information can lead to an overall improvement, protecting the unwary and the uninformed.

When people buy things about which they are poorly informed, markets can work quite perversely. If people trust someone else’s judgment more than their own – as, for instance, many do when first buying a computer – then decisions by a small number of early adopters can create a cascade of followers, picking a winner based on very little information. Windows may not have been the best possible microcomputer operating system, but a small early lead in adoption snowballed into its dominant position today. Investment fads, market bubbles, and fashions of all sorts display the same follow-the-leader dynamics (but without the staying power of Windows).

When people have to make excessively complex decisions, there is no guarantee that they will choose wisely, or pick the option that is in their own best interest. Yet in areas such as health care and retirement savings, individuals are forced to make economic decisions that depend on detailed technical knowledge. The major decisions are infrequent and the cost of error is often high, so that learning by experience is not much help.

The same overwhelming complexity of available choices exists throughout financial markets. The menu of investment options is constantly shifting and expanding; financial innovation, i.e. creating and selling new varieties of securities, is an inexpensive process, requiring little more than a clever idea, a computer programmer, and a lawyer. Such innovation allows banks and other financial institutions to escape from old, regulated markets into new, ill-defined, and unregulated territory, potentially boosting their profits. Even at its best, the pursuit of financial novelty and the accompanying confusion undermines the traditional assumption that buyers always make well-informed choices. At its worst, the process of financial innovation provides ample opportunity to cheat, knowingly selling new types of securities for more than they are worth. Information about the reliability of many potential investments is ostensibly provided by bond rating agencies. One of the minor scandals of the current financial crisis is the fact that the rating agencies are private firms working for the companies they are rating. Naturally, you are more likely to be rehired if you present your clients in the best possible light; indeed, it might not hurt your future prospects to occasionally bend the truth a bit in their favor. The Enron scandal similarly involved accounting firms that wanted to continue working for Enron – and reported that nothing was wrong with the company’s books, at a time when the top executives were engaged in massive fraud.”

Related book: Frank Ackerman and Lisa Heinzerling, Priceless: On Knowing the Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing (The New Press, 2004)

Read the full essay here, to see how these flaws also suggest a particular set of remedies.

5 Comments A critique of the market as optimal system, and remedies for the meltdown

  1. Pingback: Posts about Social Media as of December 18, 2008 | The Lessnau Lounge

  2. Kevin CarsonKevin Carson

    The article conflates the practices of the IMF, World Bank, etc., with the “free market.” Of course all those institutions talk a lot about free markets, but then Stalin talked a lot about socialism.

    The present crisis is piggybacked on so many different kinds of pervasive statism that it’s hard to imagine it happening otherwise. Most fundamentally, capitalism’s chronic tendency toward overaccumulation and underconsumption is at the root of the crisis. It derives from the maldistribution caused by state-enforced privilege, resulting in artificially high returns on land and capital and artificially low returns on labor. Corporate capitalism exacerbated the problem, with government promoting centralization of the economy in the hands of a few overbuilt cartels that could not dispose, at cartel prices, of their output at full capacity. The Sloan model of industrial production, for almost a century, has focused on large-batch production to minimize unit costs, without regard to demand–and then finding some way to make people buy the shit, even if they have to go in hock to do it. Financialization is only the latest Walden Bello listed among the expedients for soaking up surplus capital in a world that’s saturated with it. And there was no market for securitized debt, because it was too risky–until the assorted Freddies and Fannies started guaranteeing it. Really, this is about as much a failure of the “free market” as Krupp and I.G. Farben.

  3. AvatarStan Rhodes

    Although I agree with Kevin’s take, I’d like to slice a different part of this.

    Michel, after reading the article I think your own dismissal of markets as “not optimal” taints or twists what Ackerman is saying, which is that policy and mainstream economic discussion seem to completely ignore the last few decades of (real) evolution in economic thought.

    In particular, he says:

    “Although academic research in economics has moved beyond this simple picture in several respects, the newer and subtler approaches have not yet had much influence on non-academic life.”

    It sure hasn’t. In fact, the psychologist (and Nobel laureate of economics) Daniel Kahneman has attempted to spread the word about behavioral economics for at least a decade, and no one wants to hear it! Ackerman is talking about experimental and behavioral economics, mechanism design theory, and so on.

    There are different sorts of markets, and the effectiveness of humans at being “rational,” and those markets being pareto optimal, varies according to the type of market. According to Vernon Smith, there are roughly 3 “classes” of markets when it comes to how well market theory holds.

    In personal exchanges, people do well. This is within or better than market theory predicts.

    In prodution and consumption markets–ones that flow–markets generally work well. In these cases:
    – consumers are daily or regularly enjoying the value of what they buy
    – producers regularly incurring cost
    – ability to converge with theory varies by institution

    In asset and capital markets, the theory does not do well because of inherent uncertainty.

    Now this is not to say that information asymmetry is not a HUGE deal, because it is, or that behavioral economics and the biases people have are not a HUGE deal, because they are. In many instances, markets are the best thing we have, but the market is a general model. The question is the variables, as created by our governments, and the permutations they create within market models. Have we ignored externalities like the environment? Have we ignored all the various incarnations of the agency problem in our institutions? Yes.

    I know everyone’s kicking around “the market” right now, but seriously, as Kevin suggests, the financial market and its built-in privileges for a wealthy few are a systemic failure of mammoth proportions that doesn’t have a lot do with how the theory of markets actually works.

  4. AvatarChris Cook

    As someone with more than 20 years in markets, and probably with as much understanding of markets as most people, I have to say that I believe that markets represent the solution, as well as having been the problem.

    In my view, the disintermediating logic of P2P markets takes us to a networked and decentralised “Market 3.0” from our currently unsustainable and failing complex, hierarchical and centralised “Market 2.0”. In my view, this transition will take place within partnership framework protocols, and will see value (“money’s worth”) exchanged by reference to Money as an abstract Value Unit, rather than in exchange for money as an interest-bearing toxic Credit Object.

    Within a partnership, there is no profit and loss, and no requirement for double entry booking keeping either, which gives way to shared transaction and title repositories.

    The outcome is a market, but a market without rentier profits: without intermediaries, but with service providers.

    I believe that the current system of Capitalism was an emergent phenomenon: no-one planned it the way it is, but those in power took decisions and ensured legislation and financial structures invariably in their own self interest which led to the current unsustainable and moribund financial system even now in its death throes.

    But this collapse will be different, because a permanent cure presents itself courtesy of .

    I think that the use of partnership tools as such as LLC’s and LLP’s is increasing exponentially, quite simply because they work.

    That is why I am optimistic that Capitalism 2.0 will be hoist by its own petard. In the face of the “Co-operative Advantage” – freedom from paying returns to “rentiers” – conventional capital will be unable to “compete” and will wither on the vine.

    But then again, as an optimist I only ever get unpleasant surprises…

    Best Regards

    Chris Cook

Leave A Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.